Page 06 global marine trends 2030 executive summary executive summary global marine trends 2030 page 07 for much of the past two years, lloyds register, qinetiq and university of strathclyde have worked together as a team to prepare this global marine trends 2030 report. So, with now six installments of the global trends series 20102035 available, how good has the cia been at predicting the changes in the world 15 to 20 years out from economics to geopolitical events. How to read the national intelligence councils latest global. See cia global trends 2030 for what the worlds true leaders want versus the fuji declaration related to ervin laszlos networks, which is about a positive future. In 2012, 40 of the worlds largest economic entities were public corporations, but its a number that is down 20% since 2000. Global trends 2030 is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories over the next 15. How to read the national intelligence councils latest.
This research report forms part of our series on global societal trends and their impact on the eu in 2030. The 2030 pdf is broken, can you up again the archive thanks. This analysis is embedded within the framework of the european strategy and policy analysis system espas set up to develop a lasting framework to assess global trends and to develop policy. The national intelligence council nic, the forwardlooking think tank of the u. The term black swan has been part of the popular vernacular for a number of years, but it is often thrown around so liberally that some clarification would be helpful in order to understand why and how global trends 2030 discusses black swans as an important outgrowth of the intelligence communitys analysis. A more vulnerable process of globalisation, shift to asia global trend 3. Publications european union institute for security studies. A condensed version of the report is also available 1. The report is timed to be especially relevant for the administration of a newly elected us president, but global trends increasingly has served to foster discussions about the future with people around the world.
Deloitte ports industry global trends in the ports industry 14 focus on security. This report aims to update and extend that report by including developments that have occurred in european and global geopolitics since then, and will project developments out to 2035. Summaries of the us, eu, russia, and nato global trends 2030 reports. Report of the national intelligence councils 2020 project based on consultations with nongovernmental experts around the world december 2004. House permanent select committee on intelligence house select. Before launching work on the current volume, the nic commissioned an academic study of the four previous global trends studies, going to back to the first edition in 199697. As part of its mission to find a common security culture for the eu, to help develop and project the cfsp, and to enrich europes strategic debate, the institute regularly releases publications on the topics and regions at the core of the unions work. Euiss and is the lead author of this espas report global trends to 2030. The first one the reverse scenario states that by 2030 the world will return to the unstable time of the beginning of 20 th, century before the us establish ed it s primacy on the planet. Richer, older and more urban human race with an expanding global middle class and greater inequalities global trend 2. Drawing on the insights of the 2015 espas report on global trends to 2030.
Global trends 2030 is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes. It aims to define key global trends using demography. Attempts to predict the global trends is one of the key elements of washington s policy. On the national intelligence council this effort was conducted by the. I ask you pelase to inform when the global trends 2030. Without new policies, we risk irreversibly damaging the environment and the natural resource base needed to support economic growth and wellbeing. Nics previous global trends reports, we do not seek to predict the. Unique among intelligence products of this depth and stature, the national intelligence councils quadrennial global trends report is completely unclassified. I ask you pelase to inform when the global trends 2030 report, or at least an executive summary will be available to the interested people. This fact, in and of itself, tells us that they bear watching. The transit away from the pax americana of the 1990s2000s to a new world order will have advanced significantly by 2030. Alternative worlds is the fifth installment in the national intelligence.
We read every letter, fax, or email we receive, and we will convey your comments to cia officials outside opa as appropriate. The last report, which was released in 2012, was global trends 2030. Recent research into climate trends warn that severe global warming associated with carbon release from the amazon rainforests and from methane hydrates in the arctic is possible by 2030, with perhaps catastrophic effects by 2050. Global trends 2030 office of the director of national intelligence. The global trends 2030 report depicts three hypothetical future worlds and examines their implications. Euiss report for espas, global trends 2030 citizens in an interconnected and polycentric world, 2012.
What fate for liberal order in a postwestern world. These include how china will export its massive construction capability. Of all possible future worlds is a book that asks, what will our world be like in the next fifteen to twenty years. The global trends report published by the united nations refugee. Dec 07, 2014 this report is the intelligence communitys best assessment of critical drivers and global scenarios over the next 15 years. The nic global trends project involves extensive research and consultations with people inside the us government and around the world. How to read the national intelligence councils latest global trends report ellen laipson tuesday, jan. Slideshare uses cookies to improve functionality and performance, and to provide you with relevant advertising.
Nov 21, 2017 the transit away from the pax americana of the 1990s2000s to a new world order will have advanced significantly by 2030. The new global construction 2030 report also outlines key themes giving valuable insight and perspectives on key global trends impacting the global construction industry. Global trends to 2030 ruby gropas, team leader, social affairs, epsc, european commission lisbon, 28 november 2017. A transformative industrial and technological revolution. Longterm global demographic trends central intelligence agency. The first one the reverse scenario states that by 2030 the world will return to the unstable times of the beginning of 20 th, a century that was yet to witness the establishment of the us primacy on. Global demographic trends will have farreaching consequences for the key elements of national. On the national intelligence council this effort was conducted by the national intelligence officers for science and technology, and for economics, and the nics long range analysis unit. Scenarios for asias strategic future the national intelligence councils nic justreleased global trends 2030.
Alternative worlds, provides a thoughtprovoking read for any money manager who even minimally considers a longterm view important in making portfolio allocation decisions. It may look like a report, but it is really an invitation, an invitation to discuss, debate. The following report was released december 10, 2012 by the national intelligence council. The ideas generated and insights gained during the preparation of the accompanying report have enriched the work of countless analysts and been incorporated.
Alternative worlds is the fifth installment in the national intelligence councils series aimed at providing a framework for thinking about the future. Although reading trends 2030 is helpful, risks 2035 can be read alone. Asia rises, the west declines the planet may also be racked by wars over food and water. Global trends represents how the nic is thinking about the future. Alternative worlds kindle edition by burrows, mathew. It seeks to distil into compact form the main trends that will shape the global geopolitical, economic and social systems of coming decades, with special reference to their 1 the four reports commissioned by espas are. A snapshot of the global trends 2030 report posted by globaltrends2030. Global trends 2030 reports us, eu, russia, and nato. Although the 2016 version hasnt been made public yet, the principle author of global trends 2030 wrote a very detailed update to his previous work called global risks 2035. Within the intelligence community, we were supported by the defense intelligence agencys armed forces medical intelligence center, the office of naval. Download it once and read it on your kindle device, pc, phones or tablets. This analysis is embedded within the framework of the european strategy and policy analysis system espas set up to develop a lasting framework to. Global trends 2030 dedicates 70 pages of this 160page report to them. It will be powered primarily by the growing importance of individual nation.
The oecd environmental outlook to 2030 provides analyses of economic and environmental trends to 2030, and simulations of policy actions to address the key challenges. Createspace independent publishing platform, 2012, 166 pp. Jan 09, 2017 global trends is the intelligence communitys major assessment of the forces and choices shaping the world over the next two decades. As with previous editions, we hope that this report will stimulate strategic thinking by identifying critical trends and potential discontinuities. Regional climate trends to 2030 3 i will now summarize some regional climate change trends.
International futures base scenario only effective multilateralism, based on the principles of coordination and cooperation, will allow the international community to address the challenges it faces. House permanent select committee on intelligence house. Cia global trends 2030 by exopolitics hungary issuu. Whether promise or peril prevails will turn on the choices of humankind. As was the case with our previous looks at global trends that will shape the future, the process and spinoff benefits of preparing global trends 2025 were as important as the final product. In 2015, the european strategy and policy analysis system espas launched its report global trends to 2030. Global trends and risks that will shape the world over the next 20 years 5 index of national power 20102030 source. Scenarios for asias strategic future the national intelligence councils nic justreleased global. Apr 22, 2007 the office of public affairs opa is the single point of contact for all inquiries about the central intelligence agency cia. It all depends on how events develop over the next decade, according to a new report, global trends 2030 pdf, prepared by the national. Cias analysis of the international trends to 2030 new. The achievements of the industrial and information ages are shaping a world to come that is both more dangerous and richer with opportunity than ever before. This special report explores why and how the distribution of corporate clout is shifting rapidly, with new players and models emerging. Dec 01, 2012 global trends 2030 is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories over the next 15 years.
This report is the intelligence communitys best assessment of critical drivers and global scenarios over the next 15 years. Use features like bookmarks, note taking and highlighting while reading global trends 2030. Cia analysts believe that the re can only be three development paradigms. Aider les deci deurs politiques et economiques a preparer lavenir. See our document the fuji declaration by ervin laszlos teams to see a completely opposite view of the future. We believe these global consultations, both in preparing the paper and sharing the results, help the nic and broader us government.
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